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Seasonal Climate Watch - June to October 2020

The following text is an extract from the latest report from South African Weather Service:
Date issued: June 02, 2020

Overview

"The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently in a borderline weak El Niño state and the forecast indicates that it will most likely remain at the border between the weak El Niño and neutral states during mid- and late-winter. The influence of ENSO during the winter months on South African rainfall and temperature is limited during the coming seasons, thus there is no additional information to interpret with the seasonal forecasts.

The multi-model rainfall forecast for mid- and late-winter (Jun-Jul-Aug, Jul-Aug-Sep) indicate increased chances of above-normal rainfall over the South-Western and Southern parts of the country with drier than normal conditions throughout the rest of South Africa. In general, most of the country is expected to experience above-normal temperatures during winter with the exception of below-normal minimum temperatures for the north-eastern half of the country.

The South African Weather Service will continue to monitor and provide updates on any future assessments that may provide more clarity on the current expectations for the coming seasons

 

 

by John Llewellyn